High-Frequency Jump Analysis of the Bitcoin Market
نویسندگان
چکیده
We use the database leak of Mt. Gox exchange to analyze the dynamics of the price of bitcoin from June 2011 to November 2013. This gives us a rare opportunity to study an emerging retail-focused, highly speculative and unregulated market with trader identifiers at a tick transaction level. Jumps are frequent events and they cluster in time. The order flow imbalance and the preponderance of aggressive traders, as well as a widening of the bid-ask spread predict them. Jumps have short-term positive impact on market activity and illiquidity and see a persistent change in the price. JEL classification: C58, G12, G14.
منابع مشابه
Analysis of Realized Volatility in Tehran Stock Exchange using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models Approach
Objective: The present study aims atinvestigating the behavior of realized volatility for high-frequency data of Tehran Stock Index from April28th, 2012 to August 8th, 2018. Methods: Three different types of HAR models including of HAR-RV-CJ, HAR-RV and HAR-RVJ were used to analyze the Realized Volatility. Results: The obtained results of three diverse models revealed that the estimated Reali...
متن کاملTime-Varying Modeling of Systematic Risk: using High-Frequency Characterization of Tehran Stock Exchange
We decompose time-varying beta for stock into beta for continuous systematic risk and beta for discontinuous systematic risk. Brownian motion is assumed as nature of price movements in our modeling. Our empirical research is based on high-frequency data for stocks from Tehran Stock Exchange. Our market portfolio experiences 136 days out of 243 trading days with jumps which is a considerable rat...
متن کاملWhat Are the Main Drivers of the Bitcoin Price? Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Analysis
The Bitcoin has emerged as a fascinating phenomenon in the Financial markets. Without any central authority issuing the currency, the Bitcoin has been associated with controversy ever since its popularity, accompanied by increased public interest, reached high levels. Here, we contribute to the discussion by examining the potential drivers of Bitcoin prices, ranging from fundamental sources to ...
متن کاملWhat are the main drivers of the Bitcoin price ?
The Bitcoin has emerged as a fascinating phenomenon in the financial markets. Without any central authority issuing the currency, the Bitcoin has been associated with controversy ever since its popularity, accompanied by increased public interest, reached high levels. Here, we contribute to the discussion by examining the potential drivers of Bitcoin prices, ranging from fundamental sources to ...
متن کاملMulti-scale Jump and Volatility Analysis for High-Frequency Financial Data
The wide availability of high-frequency data for many financial instruments stimulates an upsurge interest in statistical research on the estimation of volatility. Jump-diffusion processes observed with market microstructure noise are frequently used to model high-frequency financial data. Yet, existing methods are developed for either noisy data from a continuous diffusion price model or data ...
متن کامل